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Scheffler's Debut in Napa | (#202)

š¢ Fore, Pleaseā¦
This is the time of year where I get to make progress on all my projects and ideas that Iāve been cooking up. I have a roadmap on my end that includes a combination of data cleanings, updated tools/modeling, community enhancements and more.
But now I want to hear from you. If you have an idea for a tool or a concept of a show or a stat that you want to invent ā nowās the time. Hit reply and tell me!
No limits, it doesnāt have to be business related and it doesnāt have to be golf related. Iām accepting all brainstorms! Iām not going to pursue them all and Iām probably going to delete 99% of them. But if thereās something cool out there that I can help with, letās get it going.
Enjoy,
Rick
š Welcome To Napa
Thanks to the US Ryder Cup team getting on the same page, there are 10/12 members teeing it up this week in Napa. That will push the Strength of Field to historic highs. Itāll also mean that Scottie Scheffler makes his tournament debut.
If you donāt count the Olympics, this will only be the third new tournament for Scheffler since the start of 2023. He added the RBC Heritage in 2023 and Pebble Beach Pro-Am in 2024 when both earned Signature Event status.
Scheffler downloads information better than anyone in the world so itās not surprising to see that the more frequently he plays an event, the better he gets.

Of Schefflerās 21 wins, only one has come in his tournament debut ā but it was the Olympics. Should we count that? If not, Scheffler has never won an event in his first try.
Now, there are a ton of caveats to that statement. He hasnāt played a lot of events for the first time since becoming this good ā as evidenced above. He also had that long ādroughtā without a win early in his career which skews the numbies. Hereās the official win breakdown.
1st Try: 1
2nd: 4
3rd: 3
4th: 6
5th: 4
6th: 3
7th: 0
š° Shorty ā Not Just A Name For A Hoagie
As far as I can tell, weāve reached a new milestone in the Scottie Scheffler versus the World competition.
Scheffler is +210 to win the Procore Championship. Thatās the shortest odds that he has even been listed at and itās significantly shorter than he has even been in a full-field event.
+210: Scheffler this week
+340: Scheffler 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge
+360: Scheffler 2024 Houston Open
+360: Scheffler 2024 Charles Schwab Challenge
+380: Rahm 2023 Mexico Open
+380: Scheffler 2025 US Open
+380: Scheffler 2024 US Open
+380: Scheffler 2025 Byron Nelson
+380: Scheffler 2025 Memorial
ā¤ļøā𩹠Stitched Up Sahith
Sahith Theegalaās 2025 season was a total loss. It was the worst season of his career by a considerable margin. The āgood newsā is that the root of his bad play was seemingly a pair of injuries that lingered all year.

Sahith detailed both neck and back injuries that derailed his season before eventually shutting him down at the end of the campaign. Itās hard to tell where Sahith stands in his process back to form but he boasted āworking out and feeling greatā. Not sure if that translates to his golf swing but Napa has been a happy hunting grounds for him over the years.
Theegala is gaining 2.17 strokes/rd at Silverado in his 20 career rounds. He and Justin Thomas are head and shoulders above the rest of the field in this category.
š¤ All Eyes On Max
Speaking of success at Silverado, Max Homaās 2025.5 campaign kicks off in Napa. In five trips to Silverado, Homa has won twice and finished T7 ā picking up 1.87 strokes/rd.

Homa Last 5 Starts
Maxās miserable 2025 season did begin to show signs of life in the final month. His last four starts returned a total of +11.828 strokes compared to the field and he picked up strokes on approach in each of his final four measured starts. Itās a low bar to clear, but Homa has definitely played his best golf of the year most recently.
š” The Davis Fantasy Family
If youāre reading this email, youāre quite familiar with 2x TOUR winner Cameron Davis. But you might not realize the amount of talent dripping from the rest of the Davis family.
Camās three brothers (Jason, Ben, and Austin) have launched a fantasy golf game and Iām happy to help spread the word. The boys are behind āBuild-a-Golferā which is a game that taps into the Strokes Gained model and lets you choose a different player for each facet of the game ā Driving, Approach, Wedges, Putting.
Itās basically a Frankenstein Golfer that could allow you to get Cameron Champās Driver, Scottie Schefflerās Irons, Hidekiās Wedges, and Dennyās Putter. Thatās an extreme example, because youāll have to stay under the salary cap, but you get the point.
Then, your new Build-A-Golfer competes on the leaderboard and earns season-long points similar to how the PGA TOUR functions. Itās a fascinating way to experience a tournament.

AI Generated Golfer Based On My Selections
Iāve been playing in some leagues the last few months and theyāve done a really good job of making a product for a sicko like me. The scorecards fill out as your golfers are looping the course and itās fascinating to see how four golfers combine into one as opposed to making a lineup with six golfers. Plus, there are season-long considerations as well.
Iāve created a league for the Fall Series, which you can join here ā itās 100% free.
Iām encouraging you to play and share your feedback. This is obviously a new endeavor and I applaud the innovation.
š From Your Lips To The Golf Godās Ears
Sometimes when Iām clicking through the field and paging through my site, something stands out. That something at this point of the week is David Lipsky.
I donāt know what got into Lipsky at the John Deere but Iām certainly paying attention now.
+31.368: Lipskyās SG (Last 5 Starts)
-16.615: Lipskyās SG (5 Starts Before That)
A literal switch has flipped for him to have a 47 stroke difference over ten starts. It also helps that he finished second here last year.
šŖ Bounty of Riches
These two men have combined for nine wins ā three of which were majors. They won national opens, signature events, THE PLAYERS, and have simply dominated golf in 2025. It would be hard to compile better resumes than these two, but guess what?
One of them is going to win the Ryder Cup.

š„ Stick It To Splash
Our listener league is up and running again, but the homies at Splash must think we take weeks off? They downgraded us from the $25K guarantee that we had all last year to $10K. Iām certainly grateful for any guarantee but thatās not how we roll!
I would love to fill this quickly so I can loudly barge into Splash HQ and demand more money. Help me become a nuisance.
Join now: https://bit.ly/3IbnqS3
Got a question for me? Reply to the email and Iāll get back to youā¦
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